The problems of forecasting of complex social systems developing

Authors

  • Vyacheslav S. Stepin Russian Academy of Sciences, 14 Leninskii Avenue, Moscow 119991, Russia

Keywords:

self-developing system, culture, social changes, social forecasting, type of civilizational development, human-sized system, biocybernetic modernization, social risks, social and ethical expertise

Abstract

The article highlights the key components of the methodology of social forecasting. Culture is presented as a particularly important regulator of social relations. The characteristic of three stages of the social system phase transition to a new level of its organization is given. It is noted that the most profound qualitative transformation of society occurs in the transition to a new type of civilizational development. The main social risks associated with the implementation of NBIC technologies are characterized. The necessity of social and ethical expertise of scientific programs and technological projects in the field of biocybernetic modernization is substantiated.

Author Biography

  • Vyacheslav S. Stepin, Russian Academy of Sciences, 14 Leninskii Avenue, Moscow 119991, Russia

    academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences, doctor of science (philosophy), full professor, emeritus professor of the Belarusian State University; head of the section of philosophy, sociology, psychology and law, department of social sciences

References

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Published

2019-03-15

Issue

No. 3 (2018): Journal of the Belarusian State University. Sociology

Section

To Know so that to Foresee...

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How to Cite

[1]
Stepin, V.S. 2019. The problems of forecasting of complex social systems developing. Journal of the Belarusian State University. Sociology. 3 (Mar. 2019), 4–10.