Family resilience under demographic chal-lenges: an integrated measurement approach

Authors

  • Anastasia G. Bobrova Institute of Economics, National Academy of Sciences of Belarus, 1 Surganava Street, 2 building, Minsk 220072, Belarus

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.33581/2521-6821-2026-1-%25p

Keywords:

family resilience coefficient, demographic policy, family policy, reproductive behaviour, demographic resonance

Abstract

The article presents an original approach to assessing family resilience through an integrated indicator that takes into account the reproductive potential of the family, economic autonomy, stability of marital relations, and access to social infrastructure. A comparative analysis of the family resilience coefficient in Belarus is carried out for 2019 and 2024 across five groups of indicators (depopulation and degradation of family structure, economic resilience of families, population health and mortality, devaluation of family values, and institutional resilience). The results of the study reveal multidirectional dynamics: against the backdrop of a decline in the total fertility rate (from 1,388 to 1,081) and a decrease in the marriage rate (from 6,7 to 5,1 ‰), there is an increase in the share of large families (from 9,2 to 12,5 %), an improvement in housing provision (from 27,8 to 30,4 m2 per person), and an expansion of enrolment in preschool institutions (from 84,5 to 88,1 %). The integrated family resilience coefficient shows a moderate decrease in resilience, which calls for adaptive adjustments to family policy, taking into account regional specificities and contemporary demographic challenges.

Author Biography

  • Anastasia G. Bobrova, Institute of Economics, National Academy of Sciences of Belarus, 1 Surganava Street, 2 building, Minsk 220072, Belarus

    PhD (economics), docent; head of the Centre of Human Development and Demography

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Published

2026-07-28

Issue

Section

From the Working Table of a Sociologist

How to Cite

[1]
Bobrova, A.G. 2026. Family resilience under demographic chal-lenges: an integrated measurement approach. Journal of the Belarusian State University. Sociology. 1 (Jul. 2026), 76–85. DOI:https://doi.org/10.33581/2521-6821-2026-1-%p.