Modelling the impact of digitalisation on economic growth

Authors

  • Catherine G. Gospodarik Belarusian State University, 4 Niezaliezhnasci Avenue, Minsk 220030, Belarus; Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, 49 Leningradskij Avenue, Moscow 125167, Russia https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5593-7728
  • Herman M. Radkevich Belarusian State University, 4 Niezaliezhnasci Avenue, Minsk 220030, Belarus

Keywords:

economic growth, digitalisation, panel growth model, monetary system, money supply, share of total reserves in gross external debt

Abstract

Econometric models are used to study the impact on the country’s economic growth of such factors as the monetary system and the level of digitalisation. Within the first econometric model were built the forecast of growth GDP per capita until 2050 at the exchange rate in constant 2015 US dollars. As indicators reflecting the quality of the monetary system were used gross capital formation, money supply growth rate, and the share of total reserves in gross external debt. The second econometric model considers the number of Internet users and mobile subscribers, information technology exports, and the innovation index in the World Intellectual Property Organisation rating as factors influencing the level of digitalisation. The results of the study show that the country’s welfare is growing due to the acceleration of everyday tasks using the Internet and mobile communications, simplification of work processes, and increased labour productivity.

Author Biographies

  • Catherine G. Gospodarik, Belarusian State University, 4 Niezaliezhnasci Avenue, Minsk 220030, Belarus; Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, 49 Leningradskij Avenue, Moscow 125167, Russia

    PhD (economics), docent; head of the department of analytical economics and econometrics, faculty of economics, Belarusian State University, and associate professor at the department of business analysis, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation

  • Herman M. Radkevich, Belarusian State University, 4 Niezaliezhnasci Avenue, Minsk 220030, Belarus

    student at the faculty of economics

References

  1. Головенчик ГГ. Цифровая трансформация белорусской экономики в условиях цифровой глобализации. Минск: ИВЦ Минфина; 2022. 376 с.
  2. Головенчик ГГ, Ковалёв ММ. Цифровая трансформация и экономический рост (на примере белорусской экономики). Журнал Белорусского государственного университета. Экономика. 2018;1:102–121. EDN: VKMRZP.
  3. Господарик ЕГ, Ермак ВД. Моделирование влияния уровня образования и цифровизации на экономический рост. Журнал Белорусского государственного университета. Экономика. 2022;2:81–92. EDN: OQWDWW.
  4. Сопоев АЮ, Казарян МЛ. Цифровая экономика как фактор экономического роста. Научный лидер. 2023;33:17–19. EDN: EEWGUO.
  5. Господарик ЕГ, Лосякина ПВ. Анализ влияния цифрового и финансового развития страны на ее экономический рост на примере Беларуси. Журнал Белорусского государственного университета. Экономика. 2022;1:65 –78. EDN: QAQLSF.

Downloads

Published

2025-08-20

Issue

Section

O. Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth

How to Cite

Modelling the impact of digitalisation on economic growth. (2025). Journal of the Belarusian State University. Economics, 1, 71-87. https://journals.bsu.by/index.php/economy/article/view/7065