Modelling the impact of digitalisation on economic growth
Keywords:
economic growth, digitalisation, panel growth model, monetary system, money supply, share of total reserves in gross external debtAbstract
Econometric models are used to study the impact on the country’s economic growth of such factors as the monetary system and the level of digitalisation. Within the first econometric model were built the forecast of growth GDP per capita until 2050 at the exchange rate in constant 2015 US dollars. As indicators reflecting the quality of the monetary system were used gross capital formation, money supply growth rate, and the share of total reserves in gross external debt. The second econometric model considers the number of Internet users and mobile subscribers, information technology exports, and the innovation index in the World Intellectual Property Organisation rating as factors influencing the level of digitalisation. The results of the study show that the country’s welfare is growing due to the acceleration of everyday tasks using the Internet and mobile communications, simplification of work processes, and increased labour productivity.
References
- Головенчик ГГ. Цифровая трансформация белорусской экономики в условиях цифровой глобализации. Минск: ИВЦ Минфина; 2022. 376 с.
- Головенчик ГГ, Ковалёв ММ. Цифровая трансформация и экономический рост (на примере белорусской экономики). Журнал Белорусского государственного университета. Экономика. 2018;1:102–121. EDN: VKMRZP.
- Господарик ЕГ, Ермак ВД. Моделирование влияния уровня образования и цифровизации на экономический рост. Журнал Белорусского государственного университета. Экономика. 2022;2:81–92. EDN: OQWDWW.
- Сопоев АЮ, Казарян МЛ. Цифровая экономика как фактор экономического роста. Научный лидер. 2023;33:17–19. EDN: EEWGUO.
- Господарик ЕГ, Лосякина ПВ. Анализ влияния цифрового и финансового развития страны на ее экономический рост на примере Беларуси. Журнал Белорусского государственного университета. Экономика. 2022;1:65 –78. EDN: QAQLSF.
Downloads
Additional Files
- Fig. 1 (Russian)
- Fig. 2 (Russian)
- Fig. 3 (Russian)
- Fig. 4 (Russian)
- Fig. 5 (Russian)
- Fig. 6 (Russian)
- Fig. 7 (Russian)
- Fig. 8 (Russian)
- Fig. 9 (Russian)
- Fig. 10 (Russian)
- Fig. 11 (Russian)
- Fig. 12 (Russian)
- Fig. 13 (Russian)
- Fig. 14 (Russian)
- Fig. 15 (Russian)
- Fig. 16 (Russian)
- Fig. 17 (Russian)
- Fig. 18 (Russian)
- Fig. 19 (Russian)
- Fig. 20 (Russian)
- Fig. 21 (Russian)
- Fig. 22 (Russian)
- Fig. 23 (Russian)
- Fig. 24 (Russian)
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Journal of the Belarusian State University. Economics

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
The authors who are published in this journal agree to the following:
- The authors retain copyright on the work and provide the journal with the right of first publication of the work on condition of license Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial. 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0).
- The authors retain the right to enter into certain contractual agreements relating to the non-exclusive distribution of the published version of the work (e.g. post it on the institutional repository, publication in the book), with the reference to its original publication in this journal.
- The authors have the right to post their work on the Internet (e.g. on the institutional store or personal website) prior to and during the review process, conducted by the journal, as this may lead to a productive discussion and a large number of references to this work. (See The Effect of Open Access.)