The current climate changes in Belarusian Polesje region: factors, consequences, projections

  • Irina S. Danilovich Belarusian State University, 4 Niezaliežnasci Avenue, Minsk 220030, Belarus; Institute of Nature Management, National Academy of Sciences of Belarus, 10 F. Skaryny Street, Minsk 220114, Belarus
  • Viktar I. Melnik Institute of Nature Management, National Academy of Sciences of Belarus, 10 F. Skaryny Street, Minsk 220114, Belarus
  • Beate Geyer Institute of Coastal Research, Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, 1 Max-Planck-Straße, Geesthacht 21502, Germany
DOI: https://doi.org/10.33581/2521-6740-2020-1-3-13

Abstract

The study presents the pattern of climatic changes in the region of the Belarusian Polesje in current period and shows peculiarities of agricultural conditions on drained peat bogs during last decades. Also the climatic projections in the study region are presented with emphasize on agricultural indices. The climate changes in the region are synchronized with a global climate warming, and expressed more significant on the natural than drained areas. But at the same time a severe and extreme conditions for vegetation growth are more evident on the drained peat bogs. The precipitation sums exceeding have been noticed in the eastern part of the Belarusian Polesje in comparison with western part. The amelioration, deforestation and decrease of underlying surface roughness have led to wind speed growth and decrease of precipitation. The observed climate change tendencies will be kept in the current century. The growth of air temperature will continue, the largest deviations of the air temperature will be noticed in winter season. The deviations of minimal temperature will exceed deviations of maximal and mean temperature. The precipitation wills growth, but deviations will be heterogeneous during the current century. The largest growth of precipitation will be observed in winter season due to the rainfall of moderate intensity increase. But in the same time the duration of the drought periods will increase in summer.

Author Biographies

Irina S. Danilovich, Belarusian State University, 4 Niezaliežnasci Avenue, Minsk 220030, Belarus; Institute of Nature Management, National Academy of Sciences of Belarus, 10 F. Skaryny Street, Minsk 220114, Belarus

PhD (geography), docent; associate professor at the department of the earth science and hydrometeorology, faculty of geography and geoinformatics, Belarusian State University, and leading researcher at the Center for Climate Research, Institute of Nature Management, National Academy of Sciences of Belarus

Viktar I. Melnik, Institute of Nature Management, National Academy of Sciences of Belarus, 10 F. Skaryny Street, Minsk 220114, Belarus

PhD (geography); senior researcher at the Center for Climate Research

Beate Geyer, Institute of Coastal Research, Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, 1 Max-Planck-Straße, Geesthacht 21502, Germany

PhD (meteorology); leading researcher

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Published
2020-05-29
Keywords: Belarusian Polesje, amelioration, microclimate, climate change, climate resources, climate projections
How to Cite
Danilovich, I. S., Melnik, V. I., & Geyer, B. (2020). The current climate changes in Belarusian Polesje region: factors, consequences, projections. Journal of the Belarusian State University. Geography and Geology, 1, 3-13. https://doi.org/10.33581/2521-6740-2020-1-3-13
Issue
No 1 (2020): Journal of the Belarusian State University. Geography and Geology
Section
Geography

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