Long-term forecast of mountain and lowland rivers runoff for assessment their hydropower potential (on the example of Ukrainian Carpaty and Belarus)

  • Sergiy I. Snizhko Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Vladimirskaya street, 60, 01601, Kyiv, Ukraine
  • Aleksandr G. Obodovskij Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Vladimirskaya street, 60, 01601, Kyiv, Ukraine
  • Piotr S. Lopuch Belаrusian State University, Nezavisimosti avenue, 4, 220030, Minsk, Republic of Belarus

Abstract

The problems of the effects of climate warming on the formation of the water resources of the Ukrainian Carpaty and the territory of Belarus in the near and distant future. The results of the application of modeling techniques and balances to calculate the forecast river runoff of the Ukrainian Carpaty. For the conditions of Belarus are the results of the forecast river flow in Belarus on the basis of the analysis of atmospheric circulation types. Proven balance method of forecasting water runoff changes and prediction under climate warming in the near and distant future it is recommended to use in the case of Belarus. In the future, you need to update forecasts for more detailed calculations of water resources in both countries. The use of the balance method in the evaluation of water resources has a good prospect for regional hydrological researches.

Author Biographies

Sergiy I. Snizhko, Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Vladimirskaya street, 60, 01601, Kyiv, Ukraine

doctor of science (geography), full рrofessor; head of the department of meteorology and climatology, faculty of geography

Aleksandr G. Obodovskij, Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Vladimirskaya street, 60, 01601, Kyiv, Ukraine

 doctor of science (geography), full рrofessor; рrofessor at the department of hydrology and hydroecology, faculty of geography

Piotr S. Lopuch, Belаrusian State University, Nezavisimosti avenue, 4, 220030, Minsk, Republic of Belarus

doctor of science (geography), full рrofessor; head of the department of the general geography and hydrometeoro logy, faculty of geography

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Published
2017-10-14
Keywords: warming, forecast, balance sheet liability method, circulation, energy, Carpaty, Belarus
How to Cite
Snizhko, S. I., Obodovskij, A. G., & Lopuch, P. S. (2017). Long-term forecast of mountain and lowland rivers runoff for assessment their hydropower potential (on the example of Ukrainian Carpaty and Belarus). Journal of the Belarusian State University. Geography and Geology, 1, 50-61. Retrieved from https://journals.bsu.by/index.php/geography/article/view/804