Patterns of fluctuations in the maximum water levels of the rivers of Belarus: current state and forecast

  • Alexander A. Volchak Brest State Technical University, 267 Maskowskaja Street, Brest 224017, Belarus
  • Darya A. Shpoka Brest State Technical University, 267 Maskowskaja Street, Brest 224017, Belarus

Abstract

The results of a study of fluctuations in maximum water levels based on data from 67 rivers of Belarus, including large rivers, for 1877–2020 are presented. The influence of natural and anthropogenic factors on the main statistical parameters of the time series of the maximum water levels of the rivers of Belarus has been established. A method for predicting the maximum water levels of the spring flood is proposed, which is considered on a specific example.

Author Biographies

Alexander A. Volchak, Brest State Technical University, 267 Maskowskaja Street, Brest 224017, Belarus

doctor of science (geography), full professor; professor at the department of environmental engineering, faculty of engineering systems and ecology

Darya A. Shpoka, Brest State Technical University, 267 Maskowskaja Street, Brest 224017, Belarus

leading specialist in educational process organisation, faculty of engineering systems and ecology

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Published
2024-06-24
Keywords: water level, spring flood, hydrological range, trends, models, forecast estimates
How to Cite
Volchak, A. A., & Shpoka, D. A. (2024). Patterns of fluctuations in the maximum water levels of the rivers of Belarus: current state and forecast. Journal of the Belarusian State University. Geography and Geology, 1, 45-61. Retrieved from https://journals.bsu.by/index.php/geography/article/view/6041
Issue
No 1 (2024): Journal of the Belarusian State University. Geography and Geology
Section
Geography

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